Education, Culture & Travel · 16.5

Tourism

Quantified news impact based on deduplicated, quality-reviewed events in a single 60-day window.

Average net impact+23weighted per event

Average gross impact28absolute weighted average

Events23same period

Confidence76%model average

Raw intensity63before weighting

Previous period0net impact

Gross changeInsufficient base

Diffusion speed0.4 / day

Concentration6%

Direction disagreement16%

Source independence99%15 sources

IMPACT TREND

60-day effective impact

Positive 18 · Negative 1 · Mixed 4

+390-39

5 Jun0 events

10 Jun0 events

15 Jun0 events

20 Jun0 events

25 Jun0 events

30 Jun0 events

5 Jul0 events

10 Jul0 events

15 Jul0 events

+14

20 Jul1 event

+13

25 Jul14 events

+39

30 Jul8 events

Current periodPrevious period

TIME HORIZON

Impact duration

Immediate0%0 cumulative effective impact

Short term28%181 cumulative effective impact

Medium term58%368 cumulative effective impact

Long term14%87 cumulative effective impact

CO-IMPACT

Related industries

EVENT EVIDENCE

Events ranked by effective impact

Page 3 of 3 · 23 events

Macro0

No evidence on this page.

Industries2

Industries27 Jul, 10:33mixed

South Korea Tops China Outbound Tourism in H1 2026 as Japan Drops 56.4%

In the first half of 2026, South Korea received 3.21 million Chinese visitors, up 27.38% year-on-year, becoming the top destination for Chinese outbound tourists. Japan received 2.05 million Chinese visitors, a decline of 56.4%, dropping to fourth place. Thailand received 2.65 million visitors, up 18%, while Vietnam received 2.70 million, mostly via land border crossings. The U. S. received 750,000 visitors, down 1%.

Effective: 0
Intensity: 60
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Industries28 Jul, 12:00mixed

Asuka-Fujiwara Capital Site Inscribed as World Heritage; Heatwave Deters Visitors

The Asuka-Fujiwara Capital site in Nara Prefecture was inscribed as a UNESCO World Heritage site on July 26. However, extreme heat with temperatures reaching 37-38 degrees Celsius kept many visitors away from the outdoor ruins. In contrast, the indoor Shijin no Yakata facility, featuring replicas of the Suzaku mural and free admission, attracted crowds seeking relief. The Ishibutai Kofun also drew visitors, who appreciated the refreshing mountain breeze compared to the hotter Tokai region.

Effective: 0
Intensity: 50
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Companies1

Companies25 Jul, 10:10mixed

China Fines Ctrip RMB5.18 Billion for Online Hotel Monopoly Abuse

China’s State Administration for Market Regulation on July 25 fined Ctrip Group and confiscated illegal gains totaling RMB5.179 billion for abusing its dominance in the online hotel booking market. The penalty includes a RMB3.521 billion fine—7.5% of 2025 domestic revenue—confiscation of RMB1.658 billion, and an order to refund RMB122 million in compulsory reserve deductions. An investigation launched in January 2026 found that since 2020 Ctrip used traffic allocation to impose exclusive dealing and enforce price parity, harming hotel pricing autonomy and consumer interests. Ctrip said it accepts the decision and will take corrective measures.

Effective: 0
Intensity: 60
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term