Kumamoto Earthquake Disrupts Semiconductor Supply Chain; TSMC Factory Resumes, TEL Kyushu Plant Halts
A 7.1-magnitude earthquake struck Kumamoto Prefecture on July 28, followed by a 5.8 aftershock, killing at least 18 and causing widespread damage. TSMC's JASM factory in Kumamoto resumed operations after safety checks, with its first plant producing 12-28nm chips since December 2024. The site accounts for 3% of TSMC's total capacity. However, Tokyo Electron Kyushu, a subsidiary of Tokyo Electron Ltd. , remained shut on July 29, raising concerns over equipment supply. The subsidiary holds a 91% global market share in coating and developing equipment.
A 7.1-magnitude earthquake struck Kumamoto Prefecture on July 28, followed by a 5.8-magnitude aftershock on the evening of July 29. As of July 29, the earthquake has left at least 18 dead, many injured, numerous houses collapsed, and caused widespread power outages and transport disruptions.
TSMC's Japan Advanced Semiconductor Manufacturing (JASM) factory in Kikuyo-cho, Kumamoto, immediately activated emergency response procedures and evacuated all employees after the quake. Inspections confirmed that the main building structure was safe, and water, power, and safety systems were functioning normally. The company has allocated resources to support its Japan operations, and raw material supply continues.
The second TSMC Kumamoto factory, under construction on adjacent land, sustained no damage. Construction work has resumed after completing safety checks. The first factory began mass production in December 2024, primarily producing 12-28nm process chips for automotive, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The second factory is scheduled to start advanced process mass production in 2028.
The Kumamoto factory accounts for about 3% of TSMC's total capacity. Separately, Tokyo Electron Kyushu, a subsidiary of Tokyo Electron Ltd. (TEL), halted production for the entire day on July 29. The subsidiary is responsible for the design and manufacture of coating and developing equipment, cleaning systems, and 3D packaging equipment. It holds a 91% global market share in coating and developing equipment, and the Kumamoto plant is the group's sole production base.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 1 industry. The strongest current signal is negative for Semiconductor Value Chain, with intensity 65/100 and 70% confidence over a short term horizon.
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.