Xingyuan Caili Says Diaphragm Prices Recover on Tight Supply-Demand, Overseas Pricing Higher
Xingyuan Caili, in an institutional research presentation, stated that the diaphragm market is experiencing tight supply-demand dynamics due to strong downstream demand from power batteries and energy storage. Diaphragm prices have stabilized and recovered, with the company implementing batch price adjustments for core customers since the market bottomed in late 2025. In the first half of 2026, mainstream wet-process base film prices recovered significantly from end-2025 levels. Overseas pricing remains significantly higher than domestic pricing, supporting further price adjustment potential.
Xingyuan Caili presented in an institutional research that, benefiting from robust downstream demand from the power battery and energy storage industries, diaphragm demand continues to grow, industry capacity utilization is gradually rising, and supply-demand conditions remain tight. Diaphragm product prices have stabilized and recovered, and price increases are boosting profit recovery for both the industry and the company, improving profit margins. The diaphragm industry is a capital-intensive, technology-intensive heavy-asset sector with long expansion cycles and a slow pace of new capacity release, while downstream power and storage demand continues to grow.
After the diaphragm industry bottomed out at the end of 2025, the company, in response to supply-demand changes, initiated batch price adjustments for core customers. In the first half of 2026, mainstream wet-process base film prices achieved a significant recovery compared with the end of 2025. Given the current restocking pace of downstream battery cell enterprises and the supply-demand gap, there is a basis for a new round of price adjustments. Looking at the two pricing systems, domestic and overseas, overseas market pricing is significantly higher than the domestic market.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 1 industry. The strongest current signal is positive for Batteries & Energy Storage, with intensity 70/100 and 80% confidence over a medium term horizon.
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.