China Caps September 11 Fuel Price Increase Under Temporary Adjustment
The National Development and Reform Commission applied temporary controls to domestic refined oil prices on September 11, 2026, limiting gasoline and diesel increases to RMB 260 and RMB 250 per tonne, below the RMB 435 and RMB 420 indicated by the existing pricing mechanism. The move followed a sharp rise in international crude prices after the August 28 adjustment and renewed escalation of the US-Iran conflict.
Since the domestic refined oil price adjustment on August 28, 2026, the US-Iran conflict has escalated again, international crude oil prices have continued to rise sharply, and crude prices in the Middle East have once more seen abnormal increases. To cushion the impact of rising international oil prices on the domestic economy and safeguard stable economic operation and public livelihoods, temporary control measures were adopted for domestic refined oil prices while retaining the framework of the existing pricing mechanism. Calculated under the current pricing mechanism, domestic gasoline and diesel (standard products) prices should have risen by RMB 435 and RMB 420 per tonne respectively on September 11, 2026; after the adjustment, the actual increases were RMB 260 and RMB 250 per tonne.
The National Development and Reform Commission will guide refined oil producers and sellers to make every effort in production, allocation and transportation, ensure stable market supply, and work with relevant departments to strengthen market supervision and inspection, strictly investigate and punish illegal and irregular conduct such as failure to implement national pricing policy, and effectively maintain market order and protect consumer interests. PetroChina, Sinopec, CNOOC and other crude oil processing enterprises should organize refined oil production, allocation and transportation, ensure stable market supply, and strictly implement national pricing policy. Relevant departments in all regions should strengthen market supervision and inspection, strictly investigate and punish acts of failing to implement national pricing policy, and maintain normal market order. Consumers may report price violations through the 12315 platform. The maximum retail prices of gasoline and diesel in all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and central cities were also published.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 6 industrys. The strongest current signal is positive for Oil & Gas Exploration, with intensity 55/100 and 65% confidence over a short term horizon.
Oil & Gas Exploration
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 55
- Confidence
- 65%
- Horizon
- Short term
Refining & Petrochemicals
- Direction
- mixed
- Intensity
- 50
- Confidence
- 60%
- Horizon
- Short term
Fuel & Gas Distribution
- Direction
- mixed
- Intensity
- 45
- Confidence
- 60%
- Horizon
- Short term
Road Transport
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 40
- Confidence
- 60%
- Horizon
- Short term
Air Transport
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 35
- Confidence
- 55%
- Horizon
- Short term
Crop Production
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 30
- Confidence
- 50%
- Horizon
- Short term
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.