MacroA-sharesKey event

China Property Market Slumps Since Mid-2021; Investment and Construction Recovery Still Needs Time

Published: Updated: By 24TopNews Editorial Desk

Since regulatory tightening in mid-2021, China's real estate market has undergone a sharp downturn. Property sales have fallen, while real estate investment and construction activity have contracted sharply. The adjustment has also weighed on household balance sheets and, to some extent, intensified the decline in consumption. At the same time, local governments' land sale revenue has been severely hit, slowing infrastructure investment. The property downturn has become one of the factors slowing economic growth. The market is close to a bottom, but recovery in investment and construction still needs time.

Since regulatory policy tightened in mid-2021, China's real estate market has experienced a sharp downturn. As property sales declined, real estate investment and construction activity contracted sharply. The sector's adjustment has also hit household balance sheets and, to some extent, intensified the decline in consumption.

Over the same period, local government land sale revenue was severely hit, and infrastructure investment slowed. Over the past few years, the property market adjustment has touched multiple areas, including sales, investment, construction, household balance sheets, consumption, local government land sale revenue, and infrastructure investment.

24TOPNEWS IMPACT INTELLIGENCE

Why this event matters

The event has a measured impact on 6 industrys. The strongest current signal is negative for Residential Development, with intensity 95/100 and 95% confidence over a long term horizon.

Construction & Real Estate · 7.1

Residential Development

Direction
negative
Intensity
95
Confidence
95%
Horizon
Long term
Effective impact -83
Construction & Real Estate · 7.7

Property Brokerage

Direction
negative
Intensity
90
Confidence
90%
Horizon
Short term
Effective impact -75
Construction & Real Estate · 7.3

Building Construction

Direction
negative
Intensity
85
Confidence
88%
Horizon
Medium term
Effective impact -69
Construction & Real Estate · 7.9

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Direction
negative
Intensity
85
Confidence
85%
Horizon
Long term
Effective impact -66
Consumer & Retail · 12.7

Home Improvement

Direction
negative
Intensity
80
Confidence
85%
Horizon
Medium term
Effective impact -63
Chemicals & Materials · 3.6

Basic Building Materials

Direction
negative
Intensity
80
Confidence
85%
Horizon
Medium term
Effective impact -63

Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.