China's Elderly Population Hits 323 Million, Home Services Market 1.28 Trillion RMB, Caregiver Shortfall 5.5
By the end of 2025, China's population aged 60 and above reached 323 million, or 23.0% of the total, with 223.65 million aged 65 and above (15.9%). Disabled and semi-disabled elderly exceeded 45 million, while only 500,000 hold professional caregiver certifications, creating a shortfall of 5.5 million. The home services market reached 1.28 trillion RMB, employing over 30 million workers.
By the end of 2025, China's population aged 60 and above reached 323.38 million, accounting for 23.0% of the national population. Among them, those aged 65 and above numbered 223.65 million, or 15.9%. The number of disabled and semi-disabled elderly nationwide has exceeded 45 million. Only 500,000 people hold professional elderly care worker certifications, leaving a gap of 5.5 million against actual demand. With nearly 10 million newborns each year, demand for maternal and infant care and nannies remains high.
In 2025, China's home services market size reached 1.2847 trillion RMB, with over 30 million employees.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 1 industry. The strongest current signal is positive for Elderly Care, with intensity 78/100 and 85% confidence over a long term horizon.
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.