China's Departure Tax Refund Sales Nearly Doubled in 2025 as Six Ministries Launch 2.0 Policy in May 2026
China's nationwide departure tax refund sales nearly doubled year on year in 2025. In May 2026, six ministries including the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of Finance, the State Taxation Administration and the General Administration of Customs jointly introduced a departure tax refund 2.0 policy. In 2025, inbound consumption by overseas visitors accounted for about 0.67% of GDP, compared with 1% to 3% in major economies. Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin and Chongqing hosted one-third of inbound foreign arrivals and two-thirds of departure tax refund sales.
President Xi Jinping has stressed that "market resources are China's enormous advantage, and we must fully utilize and leverage this advantage, and continuously consolidate and strengthen it." In recent years, China has rolled out measures including unilateral visa-free expansion, departure tax refunds, payment facilitation and service improvements, steadily increasing the openness of its consumer market. In 2025, nationwide departure tax refund sales nearly doubled year on year. In the same year, the five international consumption center cities of Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin and Chongqing accounted for one-third of the country's inbound foreign arrivals, one-half of its consumer goods imports and two-thirds of its departure tax refund sales.
In May 2026, six departments including the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of Finance, the State Taxation Administration and the General Administration of Customs jointly introduced the departure tax refund 2.0 policy. Inbound consumption involves multiple links such as visas, tax refunds, payments and services, and is tied to a wide range of business sectors. In 2025, inbound consumption by overseas visitors accounted for about 0.67% of China's GDP, while the share in major countries worldwide stood at 1% to 3%. Compared with major consumption center cities in the United States and Europe, China's consumption center cities see shorter stays by inbound tourists, a lower share of international tourism revenue and a smaller supply of international brands and services.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 6 industrys. The strongest current signal is positive for Duty-free Retail, with intensity 80/100 and 80% confidence over a immediate horizon.
Duty-free Retail
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 80
- Confidence
- 80%
- Horizon
- Immediate
Tourism
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 75
- Confidence
- 75%
- Horizon
- Short term
Physical Retail
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 70%
- Horizon
- Short term
Air Transport
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 70%
- Horizon
- Short term
Hotels
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 70%
- Horizon
- Short term
Payment Services
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 65
- Confidence
- 70%
- Horizon
- Short term
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.