China's July 2026 Manufacturing PMI Falls to 49.2%; Equipment and High-Tech Manufacturing Maintain Expansion
China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.2% in July 2026, entering contraction territory due to a high base from earlier rapid growth and the onset of the traditional off-season for some industries. The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing PMIs stood at 51.4% and 53.3%, respectively, maintaining expansion. In contrast, consumer goods and high-energy consumption sectors weakened. The production index and new orders index declined to 49.9% and 48.5%, while input prices remained elevated at 53.2% and output prices fell to 47.8%.
In July 2026, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 49.2%, affected by a high base from the earlier rapid growth of manufacturing and the entry of some manufacturing industries into the traditional production off-season.
The PMI for equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing was 51.4% and 53.3%, respectively, significantly higher than the overall manufacturing level, maintaining relatively rapid expansion. The PMI for consumer goods and high-energy consumption industries was 47.8% and 47.0%, down 2.4 and 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in sentiment.
The manufacturing production index and new orders index were 49.9% and 48.5%, respectively, down 1.5 and 2.7 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in both manufacturing enterprise production and market demand. By industry, the production index and new orders index for general equipment, computer communication and electronic equipment, and other industries were both above 53.0%, showing high market activity and relatively fast growth in production and demand. In contrast, industries such as non-metallic mineral products, ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, and automobiles had production and new orders indices below the threshold, indicating weak supply and demand sentiment.
The main raw material purchase price index and factory gate price index were 53.2% and 47.8%, respectively, declining for four consecutive months due to recent fluctuations in some commodity prices and other factors.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 6 industrys. The strongest current signal is negative for Steelmaking, with intensity 75/100 and 90% confidence over a short term horizon.
Steelmaking
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 75
- Confidence
- 90%
- Horizon
- Short term
Basic Building Materials
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 85%
- Horizon
- Short term
Conventional Vehicles
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 85%
- Horizon
- Short term
Electronic Components
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 65
- Confidence
- 80%
- Horizon
- Short term
General Industrial Equipment
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 60
- Confidence
- 80%
- Horizon
- Short term
Network Equipment
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 60
- Confidence
- 75%
- Horizon
- Short term
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.