China's National Carbon Market to Expand to Petrochemicals, Chemicals, Covering About 80% of Emissions
China's Ministry of Ecology and Environment announced on August 13 that the national carbon emissions trading market will expand to include petrochemical and chemical industries, among other high-emission sectors, in addition to the existing power, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting sectors. The expansion aims to bring about 80% of the country's carbon dioxide emissions under effective management. The market, launched in July 2021, currently covers about 60% of national CO2 emissions after adding steel, cement, and aluminum smelting in March 2025.
The national carbon emissions trading market will expand its coverage, adding high-emission industries such as petrochemicals and chemicals on top of the existing four sectors of power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting. This move aims to achieve effective control of about 80% of the country's carbon dioxide emissions. On August 13, Li Gao, Vice Minister of Ecology and Environment, introduced the relevant situation at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office.
Since its launch in July 2021, the national carbon market has gradually expanded its coverage. In March 2025, on the basis of the power generation sector, the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries were formally incorporated into the national carbon emissions trading market. After this expansion, the carbon market covers approximately 60% of the country's total carbon dioxide emissions.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 6 industrys. The strongest current signal is negative for Basic Chemicals, with intensity 70/100 and 85% confidence over a medium term horizon.
Basic Chemicals
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 85%
- Horizon
- Medium term
Base Metals
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 60
- Confidence
- 90%
- Horizon
- Short term
Basic Building Materials
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 60
- Confidence
- 90%
- Horizon
- Short term
Steelmaking
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 60
- Confidence
- 90%
- Horizon
- Short term
Refining & Petrochemicals
- Direction
- negative
- Intensity
- 65
- Confidence
- 80%
- Horizon
- Medium term
Specialty Chemicals
- Direction
- mixed
- Intensity
- 50
- Confidence
- 70%
- Horizon
- Medium term
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.