Investors Expect Fed's First Rate Hike in Three Years Next Week
Investors have largely concluded that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week for the first time in three years, according to a September 11, 2026 report. Yet almost no one inside the Fed believes a single 0.25 percentage point increase would be enough to bring inflation down. The Fed meets next week, and since the 1990s it has raised rates only once during an inflation-fighting campaign. Governor Waller's stance has shifted from favoring tightening to holding steady.
The Federal Reserve will hold its monetary policy meeting next week. Since the 1990s, the Fed has raised rates only once during an effort to bring down inflation.
Fed Governor Waller's position has shifted from favoring tightening to maintaining the status quo, a change that followed shifts in economic signals.
Why this event matters
The event has a measured impact on 5 industrys. The strongest current signal is positive for Precious Metals Mining, with intensity 70/100 and 65% confidence over a short term horizon.
Precious Metals Mining
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 70
- Confidence
- 65%
- Horizon
- Short term
Base Metals
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 60
- Confidence
- 55%
- Horizon
- Short term
Wind & Solar Power
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 55
- Confidence
- 50%
- Horizon
- Medium term
Securities Firms
- Direction
- positive
- Intensity
- 55
- Confidence
- 50%
- Horizon
- Short term
Semiconductor Value Chain
- Direction
- mixed
- Intensity
- 50
- Confidence
- 50%
- Horizon
- Short term
Impact figures are analytical estimates that combine direction, intensity, confidence and event importance. They are not investment advice.