China Issues Expanding Consumption Plan Targeting 60 Trillion Yuan Retail Sales by 2030
China has published the 'Expanding Consumption 15th Five-Year Plan,' the first national five-year plan focused on consumption in nearly 50 years. It targets total retail sales of consumer goods at about 60 trillion yuan by 2030, up from 50.1 trillion yuan in 2025, implying an average annual growth of roughly 3.7%. The plan prioritizes service consumption, including elderly care, childcare, health, education, culture, and tourism. It also addresses auto and housing consumption, but does not mention continuation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. New consumption models such as digital consumption and 'AI + consumption' are promoted.
- Effective
- 0
- Intensity
- 40
- Confidence
- 55%
- Horizon
- Short term