Energy · 1.4

Refining & Petrochemicals

Quantified news impact based on deduplicated, quality-reviewed events in a single 3-day window.

Average net impact+7weighted per event

Average gross impact7absolute weighted average

Events1same period

Confidence85%model average

Raw intensity80before weighting

Previous period+10net impact

Gross change-59%

Diffusion speed0.3 / day

Concentration100%

Direction disagreement200%

Source independence100%7 sources

Sample note: only 1 qualifying events; impact is highly concentrated in a few events. Metrics may be volatile.

IMPACT TREND

3-day effective impact

Positive 1 · Negative 0 · Mixed 0

+160-16

31 Jul, 171 event

31 Jul, 230 events

1 Aug, 050 events

1 Aug, 110 events

1 Aug, 170 events

1 Aug, 230 events

2 Aug, 050 events

2 Aug, 110 events

2 Aug, 170 events

2 Aug, 230 events

3 Aug, 050 events

3 Aug, 110 events

Current periodPrevious period

TIME HORIZON

Impact duration

Immediate0%0 cumulative effective impact

Short term100%15 cumulative effective impact

Medium term0%0 cumulative effective impact

Long term0%0 cumulative effective impact

CO-IMPACT

Related industries

EVENT EVIDENCE

Events ranked by effective impact

Page 1 of 1 · 1 events

Macro0

No evidence on this page.

Industries0

No evidence on this page.

Companies1

Companies31 Jul, 19:12positive

Middle East Conflict Raises Oil Prices, Boosts Exxon and Chevron Second-Quarter 2026 Earnings

Exxon Mobil and Chevron reported sharp gains in second-quarter 2026 profit on July 31, lifted by higher international oil prices from the Middle East conflict. Exxon posted earnings of $14.525 billion, while Chevron earned $12.072 billion. Sales rose 42% at Exxon to $116.017 billion and 56% at Chevron to $70.055 billion. Brent crude averaged $96.68 a barrel, up 23% from the prior quarter, and US crude rose 27% quarter on quarter.

Effective: +13
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 85%
Horizon: Short term