Agriculture · 4.3

Livestock

Quantified news impact based on deduplicated, quality-reviewed events in a single 20-day window.

Average net impact-4weighted per event
Average gross impact12absolute weighted average
Events4same period
Confidence65%model average
Raw intensity55before weighting
Previous period0net impact
Gross changeInsufficient base
Diffusion speed0.2 / day
Concentration33%
Direction disagreement70%
Source independence100%6 sources

Sample note: only 4 qualifying events. Metrics may be volatile.

IMPACT TREND

20-day effective impact

Positive 1 · Negative 2 · Mixed 1

Current periodPrevious period
TIME HORIZON

Impact duration

Immediate0%0 cumulative effective impact
Short term34%19 cumulative effective impact
Medium term66%36 cumulative effective impact
Long term0%0 cumulative effective impact
CO-IMPACT

Related industries

EVENT EVIDENCE

Events ranked by effective impact

Page 1 of 1 · 4 events

Macro3
01
Macropositive

China's Rural Financial Services Achieve Near-Universal Coverage; Agricultural Loans Exceed RMB 53 Trillion in

China's rural financial system has achieved near-universal basic coverage, with outstanding agricultural loans in domestic and foreign currencies exceeding RMB 53 trillion in 2025. However, structural supply-demand imbalances, high operational costs, and risk management pressures persist. Digital credit construction, driven by technology and institutional innovation, is emerging as a critical solution to these challenges, aiming to transform rural inclusive finance from broad coverage to high-quality development.

Effective
+19
Intensity
55
Confidence
75%
Horizon
Medium term
02
Macronegative

Heat Dome Triggers Extreme Drought, 49°C Heat and Severe Storms Across Central and Southern U.S.

A heat dome is causing extreme heat across central and southern U. S. , with temperatures reaching 49 degrees Celsius in the Southwest and triggering severe thunderstorms, flash floods, and hail. The heat wave core is expected to shift south early next week. As of mid-July, large areas of ten states, including Oregon, Idaho, Nevada, and Texas, are experiencing extreme to exceptional drought.

Effective
-19
Intensity
65
Confidence
70%
Horizon
Short term
03
Macronegative

Strongest El Niño in 150 Years Forming, Scientist Warns at July 23 Briefing

Berkeley Earth climate scientist Zeke Hausfather warned on July 23 that the strongest El Niño in 150 years is forming. Since June, Pacific sea surface warming and wind patterns have intensified rapidly. Fourteen climate models predict a median peak sea surface temperature 0.8 degrees Celsius higher than the 2015-2016 record. The previous strong El Niño in 1997-1998 caused $5.7 trillion in global economic losses. The short two-year interval since the last event raises questions about whether human-caused climate change is shifting the ENSO cycle.

Effective
-17
Intensity
60
Confidence
55%
Horizon
Medium term
Industries0

No evidence on this page.

Companies1
01
Companiesmixed

New Hope Says Heat, Typhoons Have Limited Impact; Q3 Hog Prices Seen Better Than Q2

New Hope said on its investor interaction platform on Aug. 3 that high temperatures and typhoons this summer have had only localized, short-term effects on its feed and hog operations across China and overseas. The company noted such weather may modestly support ongoing hog capacity reduction driven by market and policy forces. Based on current hog futures prices, it expects third-quarter hog prices to improve from the second quarter, though the outlook remains cautious.

Effective
0
Intensity
40
Confidence
60%
Horizon
Short term