Technology · 10.1

Semiconductor Value Chain

Quantified news impact based on deduplicated, quality-reviewed events in a single 7-day window.

Average net impact+12weighted per event

Average gross impact15absolute weighted average

Events111same period

Confidence76%model average

Raw intensity63before weighting

Previous period+29net impact

Gross change-54%

Diffusion speed15.9 / day

Concentration2%

Direction disagreement18%

Source independence97%26 sources

IMPACT TREND

7-day effective impact

Positive 85 · Negative 9 · Mixed 17

+320-32

28 Jul, 0123 events

28 Jul, 1514 events

29 Jul, 0515 events

29 Jul, 1911 events

+12

30 Jul, 0910 events

+16

30 Jul, 2311 events

+19

31 Jul, 1310 events

1 Aug, 032 events

1 Aug, 170 events

+20

2 Aug, 071 event

+17

2 Aug, 217 events

+30

3 Aug, 117 events

Current periodPrevious period

TIME HORIZON

Impact duration

Immediate3%55 cumulative effective impact

Short term36%580 cumulative effective impact

Medium term53%864 cumulative effective impact

Long term8%128 cumulative effective impact

CO-IMPACT

Related industries

EVENT EVIDENCE

Events ranked by effective impact

Page 5 of 11 · 109 events

Macro3

Macro28 Jul, 17:12negative

7.1-Magnitude Earthquake in Kumamoto Raises Risk to Semiconductor Supply Chain

A 7.1-magnitude earthquake struck Japan's Kumamoto Prefecture on July 28, 2026, killing at least 13 people and injuring dozens. The quake disrupted power to over 48,000 households, halted transport, and forced evacuations at semiconductor plants including TSMC and Sony. The region, a key semiconductor hub, faces heightened supply chain risk. Japan's government activated emergency response, while Taiwan donated 5 million New Taiwan dollars for relief.

Effective: -16
Intensity: 82
Confidence: 88%
Horizon: Short term

Macro29 Jul, 14:30positive

China Q2 2026 Real GDP Growth 4.3%, Nominal GDP 5.9%, GDP Deflator Turns Positive at 1.5%

China's Q2 2026 macroeconomic data showed real GDP growth of 4.3% year-on-year, down from the first quarter. Nominal GDP growth accelerated to 5.9%, the highest quarterly rate in five years, while the GDP deflator turned positive at about 1.5% for the first time since Q2 2023. Export growth strengthened on resilient external demand and recovering shipments to the US, but fixed asset investment turned negative, consumption remained weak, and the property sector continued to contract.

Effective: +15
Intensity: 72
Confidence: 75%
Horizon: Medium term

Macro3 Aug, 07:49positive

Guangdong banking, insurance H1 core indicators top nation; manufacturing loans up 560.4 billion yuan

Guangdong's banking and insurance sectors led the nation in H1 core indicators, including total assets, liabilities, deposits, loans, insurance premiums, and underwriting profits. Manufacturing loans rose by RMB 560.4 billion, with over 40% directed to high-tech manufacturing. Foreign trade enterprise loans grew 11.44%, and export credit insurance coverage increased 7.3%. Regional loan growth in northern Guangdong reached 6.22%, while small business and agriculture loans expanded 9.25% and 6.04% respectively.

Effective: +15
Intensity: 35
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Industries3

Industries28 Jul, 04:49positive

SoftBank Group builds US AI data centre; OpenAI considers tenancy and negotiates $250 billion Nvidia credit

SoftBank Group is building a large-scale AI data centre in the US state of Ohio, with construction set to start this year as part of a $500 billion Japan–US investment. OpenAI is considering a tenancy and is in discussions with Nvidia for a credit guarantee of roughly $250 billion (¥40 trillion) to sign a lease and cover facility-construction debt. The guarantee would make it easier for the unprofitable, privately held AI company to access bank financing.

Effective: +15
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Medium term

Industries29 Jul, 11:12negative

Ajinomoto ABF Film Price Hike of 30% Hits AI Chip Supply Chain; Over 50 Chinese Consumer Companies Enter Hard

Ajinomoto raised ABF film prices by 30% in the third quarter of 2026, pressuring the global AI chip supply chain. Since late 2025, more than 50 Chinese consumer companies have diversified into hard tech, with Allbirds' NewBird surging 582% after a pivot to computing power leasing. By-health took a 0.97% stake in a chip startup for RMB 50 million, while Zhong Shanshan invested RMB 500 million for a 10% stake in solid-state battery electrolytes. However, cross-industry high-tech M&A failure rates reached 57.2% in 2024, and traditional company diversification failure rates ranged from 70% to 75% from 2018 to 2025.

Effective: -15
Intensity: 70
Confidence: 85%
Horizon: Short term

Industries29 Jul, 00:00positive

Shanghai Aishengna Starts Domestic Immersion DUV Lithography Production, Plans Five Units This Year for SMIC

Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group, a state-backed company, has begun producing domestic immersion deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines. It plans to manufacture about five units this year and 20 next year, delivering them to SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and ChangXin Memory Technologies. The company, founded in August 2023 with over 7 billion RMB in registered capital, is assembling a team from other Chinese firms. However, its DUV machines still require further testing and lag far behind ASML's models, posing no immediate commercial threat. ASML's stock fell 8.3% on July 27.

Effective: +14
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 70%
Horizon: Medium term

Companies4

Companies28 Jul, 08:34positive

Nvidia and SK Group Forge Partnership with Over US$500 Billion in Business Deals

U. S. -based Nvidia and South Korean conglomerate SK Group have entered into a cooperation agreement, with the combined value of their business dealings exceeding US$500 billion, Nvidia announced on Friday. The disclosure underscores the vast commercial ties between the chip giant and the Korean group, though neither party elaborated on the specific areas of collaboration or how the figure was derived. Nvidia did not immediately respond to requests for additional comment.

Effective: +16
Intensity: 85
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Companies31 Jul, 02:53positive

Meta's $700 Billion AI and Cloud Commitments: $349.3 Billion in Irrevocable Contracts, $347 Billion in Future

Meta has committed nearly $700 billion in future spending on artificial intelligence data centers, cloud computing, and related infrastructure. The company disclosed $349.3 billion in irrevocable contract commitments, primarily for third-party cloud services, servers, and network equipment. Additionally, it holds $347 billion in future lease commitments not yet on the balance sheet, with $68 billion added in July alone. Payments for these leases will begin in 2027 and 2028, covering data centers, colocation facilities, and some network infrastructure beyond existing active leases.

Effective: +14
Intensity: 60
Confidence: 70%
Horizon: Medium term

Companies31 Jul, 19:30positive

China Resources Microelectronics Conducts Two Price Hikes in 2026, First-Half Gross Margin to Rise

China Resources Microelectronics (CR Micro) disclosed that it has implemented two rounds of price increases since the start of 2026, responding to a query on an interactive platform. The company stated that its comprehensive gross margin for the first half of the year will improve compared with the same period in the prior year.

Effective: +14
Intensity: 60
Confidence: 70%
Horizon: Short term

Companies30 Jul, 17:14positive

Demingli Says Operations Strong, Net Profit Up 196%-266% Year-on-Year

Demingli stated on an interactive platform that its overall operations are healthy, with year-on-year net profit growth of 196% to 266%. The company attributed second-quarter net profit performance to factors such as higher expenses, increased R&D investment, capacity construction provisions, and share-based payment costs. It is actively increasing strategic reserves, maintaining ample inventory, and boosting customer acquisition spending. New businesses including enterprise-grade storage, embedded storage, and memory modules remain in an accelerated expansion phase, with contributions from these investments beginning in the second quarter and sustaining high growth.

Effective: +14
Intensity: 70
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Immediate