Technology · 10.1

Semiconductor Value Chain

Quantified news impact based on deduplicated, quality-reviewed events in a single 7-day window.

Average net impact+12weighted per event

Average gross impact15absolute weighted average

Events148same period

Confidence76%model average

Raw intensity63before weighting

Previous period+25net impact

Gross change-64%

Diffusion speed21.1 / day

Concentration1%

Direction disagreement18%

Source independence97%28 sources

IMPACT TREND

7-day effective impact

Positive 114 · Negative 10 · Mixed 24

+340-34

26 Jul, 150 events

+10

27 Jul, 0541 events

+10

27 Jul, 1920 events

28 Jul, 0926 events

28 Jul, 2311 events

29 Jul, 1312 events

+14

30 Jul, 0310 events

+16

30 Jul, 179 events

+25

31 Jul, 0717 events

+12

31 Jul, 211 event

1 Aug, 111 event

2 Aug, 010 events

Current periodPrevious period

TIME HORIZON

Impact duration

Immediate4%87 cumulative effective impact

Short term39%834 cumulative effective impact

Medium term46%985 cumulative effective impact

Long term11%243 cumulative effective impact

CO-IMPACT

Related industries

EVENT EVIDENCE

Events ranked by effective impact

Page 1 of 15 · 147 events

Macro4

Macro31 Jul, 12:01positive

NDRC to Accelerate AI Law Legislation, National AI Computing Power Surges 2.8-Fold

China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced plans to accelerate the legislative process for an artificial intelligence law, aiming to establish a key institutional framework and provide a distinctive AI governance approach. As of the end of June 2026, the national AI computing power scale had reached 2.8 times that of the same period in 2025, with AI-related industries expanding by over 30%. The NDRC emphasized the need for risk monitoring and human-centered development. Additionally, estimates indicate that the computing network during the 15th Five-Year Plan period will attract RMB 4 trillion in direct investment.

Effective: +41
Intensity: 82
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Medium term

Macro31 Jul, 10:32positive

15th Five-Year Plan Computing Power Network to See 4 Trillion Yuan in New Direct Investment, Huge Potential

NDRC spokesperson Jiang Yi said on July 31 that institutions estimate the 15th Five-Year Plan period will bring RMB 4 trillion in new direct investment for computing power network construction. As corporate investment dominates, this creates significant opportunities for private capital. The NDRC will enhance planning and factor guarantees to foster a favorable environment for private investment.

Effective: +37
Intensity: 85
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Long term

Macro30 Jul, 07:34positive

China's Goods Trade Exceeds RMB 25 Trillion in First Half of 2026, New Three Exports Top RMB 800 Billion

China's goods trade reached RMB 25.47 trillion in the first half of 2026, up 16.9% year-on-year, the first time exceeding RMB 25 trillion for the period. Imports hit RMB 10.74 trillion, up 22.1%. Exports of the 'new three' products — electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and solar cells — totaled RMB 819.64 billion, up 46.1%. Private enterprises accounted for 57% of trade value. The data underscores China's continued dominance in global goods trade.

Effective: +35
Intensity: 85
Confidence: 95%
Horizon: Short term

Macro31 Jul, 08:00positive

Beijing's H1 2026 GDP Reaches 2.64 Trillion RMB, Up 5.4%, with Strategic Emerging and High-Tech Manufacturing

In the first half of 2026, Beijing's gross domestic product totaled 2,641.19 billion RMB, a real increase of 5.4% year-on-year, moderating from 5.9% in the first quarter. Strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing drove industrial output, growing 12.8% and 15.7%, respectively. Service robot output surged 2.3 times, while industrial robot and new energy vehicle production rose 75.5% and 18.5%. General public budget revenue climbed 6%, with tax revenue accounting for 89.3%, maintaining the best level nationally. Retail sales fell 2.2%, but service consumption grew 4.5%.

Effective: +34
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Industries3

Industries31 Jul, 14:52positive

Electronic Information Manufacturing Profit Surges 96.9% YoY in H1 2026, Revenue Up 18.5%

China's electronic information manufacturing industry saw a 96.9% year-on-year surge in profit to 577.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2026, with revenue rising 18.5% to 9.41 trillion yuan. Fixed asset investment grew 6.5%, while export delivery value increased 7.8%. In June alone, revenue expanded 24.7% and export delivery value rose 12.9%.

Effective: +44
Intensity: 85
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Short term

Industries31 Jul, 15:41positive

US tech giants ramp up AI infrastructure spending in July, annual capex plans near $800 billion

In July, major US tech companies rolled out full-year capital expenditure plans totaling close to $800 billion, directing funds toward AI servers, data centers, proprietary chips and memory capacity. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index initially dropped 11% in one week, with nearly 70% of semiconductor names down over 20% from their highs, before a late-month earnings-driven rebound lifted the index 8.19% in a single session. Alphabet raised its annual capex to $195–205 billion, Microsoft kept its $190 billion plan and Meta lifted its range to $130–145 billion. Intel raised its full-year spending to $20 billion and Tesla reaffirmed more than $25 billion in capex. Memory chip makers and other semiconductor firms secured large cloud orders, driving sharp rallies; SanDisk surged nearly 26% in one day.

Effective: +39
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Industries31 Jul, 14:51positive

China's Electronic Information Manufacturing Value-Added Up 14.8% in First Half of 2026, IC Output Rises 23.1%

In the first half of 2026, China's above-designated-size electronic information manufacturing sector saw value-added output rise 14.8% year on year, outpacing overall industry and high-tech manufacturing by 9.4 and 1.5 percentage points, respectively. June alone recorded a 15.7% increase. Among key products, integrated circuit output grew 23.1% to 279.8 billion units, industrial robot output rose 28.0% to 538,000 sets, and new energy vehicle output increased 6.0% to 7.4 million units.

Effective: +36
Intensity: 82
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Medium term

Companies3

Companies30 Jul, 09:43positive

Samsung Electronics Q2 2026 Revenue 171.5 Trillion Won, Record Operating Profit 89.5 Trillion Won

Samsung Electronics reported a record operating profit of 89.5 trillion won for the second quarter of 2026, up 1,814% year-on-year, driven by AI-fueled memory chip demand. Revenue rose 130% to 171.5 trillion won, while net profit surged 1,299.9% to 71.6245 trillion won. The semiconductor division contributed almost all profit, with the Device Solutions unit posting record sales and profit. The mobile business swung to an operating loss due to soaring chip prices. Shares closed up 2.44% but remain down over 40% from their June all-time high.

Effective: +44
Intensity: 95
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Medium term

Companies31 Jul, 05:40positive

Apple Raises Prices on Soaring Memory Costs, Warns Supply Limits Will Severely Hit iPhone, iPad, Mac Revenue

During Apple’s fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings call, CEO Tim Cook said the company had reluctantly raised some product prices because memory costs were surging in a once-in-a-century spike. Cook warned that supply constraints would have a significantly larger impact on September-quarter revenue than in the just-ended quarter, affecting the iPhone, iPad, and Mac product lines.

Effective: +40
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Short term

Companies30 Jul, 23:29positive

TSMC Plans $49 Billion Investment in Four Fabs for 1.4nm Chips by Mid-2028, First Full AI Integration

TSMC is investing $49 billion to build four fabs for its 1.4-nanometer (A14) chip process, targeting mass production by mid-2028. For the first time, the company will fully integrate artificial intelligence (AI) systems to manage construction risks, optimize thermal management, and improve operational efficiency. The AI monitors heavy equipment, cleanroom assembly, and safety, while also controlling EUV lithography cooling to prevent wafer deformation. Market rumors suggest each 1.4nm wafer could cost $45,000.

Effective: +37
Intensity: 85
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Medium term