Energy · 1.1

Coal

Quantified news impact based on deduplicated, quality-reviewed events in a single 200-day window.

Average net impact+30weighted per event

Average gross impact30absolute weighted average

Events8same period

Confidence81%model average

Raw intensity62before weighting

Previous period0net impact

Gross changeInsufficient base

Diffusion speed0.0 / day

Concentration15%

Direction disagreement200%

Source independence100%5 sources

IMPACT TREND

200-day effective impact

Positive 7 · Negative 0 · Mixed 1

+300-30

15 Jan0 events

1 Feb0 events

17 Feb0 events

6 Mar0 events

23 Mar0 events

8 Apr0 events

25 Apr0 events

12 May0 events

28 May0 events

14 Jun0 events

1 Jul0 events

+30

17 Jul8 events

Current periodPrevious period

TIME HORIZON

Impact duration

Immediate0%0 cumulative effective impact

Short term46%109 cumulative effective impact

Medium term39%92 cumulative effective impact

Long term15%37 cumulative effective impact

CO-IMPACT

Related industries

EVENT EVIDENCE

Events ranked by effective impact

Page 1 of 1 · 8 events

Macro4

Macro30 Jul, 08:00positive

National Energy Administration: Energy Investment in 15th Five-Year Plan to Exceed 20 Trillion Yuan

The National Energy Administration announced that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), investment in key energy projects and new business forms will exceed RMB 20 trillion, significantly higher than the 14th Five-Year Plan total. The investment, averaging over RMB 100 billion per day, is divided into three dimensions: safety, transition, and new opportunities. Safety project investment rises over 10%, grid investment growth exceeds 30%, and new energy's share of power source investment nears 60%. New business forms receive over RMB 2 trillion, focusing on green hydrogen, storage, and virtual power plants.

Effective: +39
Intensity: 65
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Medium term

Macro31 Jul, 22:52positive

Shanghai SASAC Promotes Bulk Commodity Trade Development, Guomao Holdings Signs Agreements with SAIC and

Shanghai SASAC held a meeting on July 31 to accelerate high-quality development of bulk commodity trade and build an international trading and investment platform. The meeting emphasized strategic positioning, ecological cooperation, and regulatory services. Guomao Holdings, a municipal state-owned enterprise with 13 billion yuan registered capital established in November 2025, signed framework agreements with SAIC Motor, Shanghai Electric, Shenergy Group, and Shanghai International Port Group to deepen collaboration and build a bulk commodity industrial ecosystem.

Effective: +33
Intensity: 55
Confidence: 78%
Horizon: Medium term

Macro27 Jul, 10:02positive

Shanxi Province Sets Up 10 Billion Yuan Manufacturing Revitalization Equity Fund

Shanxi Province has established a manufacturing revitalization and upgrade equity investment fund with a total capital contribution of about 10 billion yuan. The limited partnership will engage in private equity investment, investment management, and asset management. Key contributors include Shanxi Production Investment Capital Management Co. , Ltd. and Shanxi Coking Coal Group Co.

Effective: +20
Intensity: 50
Confidence: 70%
Horizon: Medium term

Macro28 Jul, 16:05mixed

China to Exempt Energy Lands from Urban Land Use Tax from 2026, Phase Out Previous Reductions

China's Ministry of Finance and State Taxation Administration have adjusted urban land use tax rules for energy and resource enterprises. From September 1, 2026, certain lands used by oil, gas, coal, power, and mining enterprises will be exempt from the tax. Concurrently, from September 1, 2026 to August 31, 2027, lands that previously qualified for tax reductions will be taxed at half the due amount, and from September 1, 2027, full tax will apply, with the old reduction rules being abolished.

Effective: 0
Intensity: 60
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Medium term

Industries2

Industries27 Jul, 18:43positive

China Sets 2030 Targets for Ordos Coalbed Methane: Reserves Up 600 Billion Cubic Meters, Output 18 Billion

China's National Energy Administration has issued a plan to boost coalbed methane production in the eastern Ordos Basin from 2026 to 2030. The plan targets an increase in proven geological reserves of more than 600 billion cubic meters by 2030 compared with the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan period. Annual coalbed methane output is set to reach 180 billion cubic meters, with deep coalbed methane contributing over 160 billion cubic meters. The initiative aims to achieve breakthroughs in key technologies and improve coordination mechanisms.

Effective: +37
Intensity: 65
Confidence: 82%
Horizon: Long term

Industries27 Jul, 18:21positive

Shanxi Raw Coal Output Falls 5.5% to 617 Million Tonnes in H1 2026; Inner Mongolia Leads

In the first half of 2026, Shanxi's raw coal output fell 5.5% year-on-year to 616.7 million tonnes, while Inner Mongolia produced 658.6 million tonnes, reclaiming the top spot. Shanxi's GDP grew 2.1% but its coal industry output was flat. A gas explosion in May led to stricter safety checks and production cuts, with June output dropping 31.5% from a year ago. The provincial government has ordered mine-specific plans to resume production at suspended coal mines.

Effective: +29
Intensity: 55
Confidence: 80%
Horizon: Short term

Companies2

Companies27 Jul, 16:51positive

Shenhuo 2026 H1 Revenue Rises 21.35%, Net Profit Jumps 151.06%, EPS RMB 2.16

Shenhuo Co. , Ltd. reported its 2026 half-year results on July 27, showing revenue of RMB 24.79 billion, up 21.35% year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders surged 151.06% to RMB 4.78 billion, with basic earnings per share of RMB 2.16. The company attributed the performance to higher selling prices for coal and electrolytic aluminum, while the cost of key raw material alumina declined.

Effective: +48
Intensity: 80
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Short term

Companies30 Jul, 15:56positive

Pingmei Share Reports H1 2026 Commercial Coal Sales of 13.34 Million Tonnes, Revenue 10.886 Billion Yuan

Pingmei Share, a Chinese coal producer, reported its commercial coal sales volume for the first half of 2026 reached 13.34 million tonnes, up 16.62% year-on-year. The company's commercial coal sales revenue totaled RMB 10.886 billion, an increase of 25.58% from the same period in 2025. The figures were released in the company's semi-annual operational update.

Effective: +31
Intensity: 70
Confidence: 90%
Horizon: Short term